1. **Arizona:** Trump 43%, Biden 42%
2. **Florida:** Trump 45%, Biden 41%
3. **Georgia:** Trump 44%, Biden 42%
4. **Michigan:** Trump 43%, Biden 44%
5. **North Carolina:** Trump 45%, Biden 42%
6. **Pennsylvania:** Trump 43%, Biden 42%
7. **Wisconsin:** Trump 42%, Biden 42% (tie)
8. **Nevada:** Trump 44%, Biden 42
*Data from Atlantic Playbook Media, Redfield & Wilton Strategies